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Cavco Industries Reports Q3 2026 Earnings: Sales Decline, Backlog Shrinks

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Phoenix, Arizona - February 3rd, 2026 - Cavco Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAVCO) today reported its fiscal third quarter 2026 earnings, revealing a landscape of declining order backlogs amidst persistent economic headwinds. While net sales decreased to $285.7 million from $298.2 million in the same quarter last year, the company is demonstrating resilience through strategic shifts and a focus on operational efficiencies. The report, covering the period ending December 31, 2025, highlights the growing impact of higher interest rates on the affordable housing market, particularly impacting demand for manufactured homes.

Net income for the quarter registered at $12.5 million, or $0.39 per share, a significant decrease from the $21.9 million, or $0.68 per share, reported during the third quarter of fiscal 2025. This decline underscores the challenging environment facing the manufactured housing sector.

The Interest Rate Impact & Shifting Demand

The primary driver behind the downturn is the sustained rise in interest rates. Affordable housing, traditionally a haven for first-time homebuyers and those seeking cost-effective living solutions, is particularly sensitive to borrowing costs. As rates climb, the pool of qualified buyers shrinks, directly impacting order volumes. This isn't a Cavco-specific issue; the entire manufactured housing industry is experiencing similar pressures. Experts predict this trend will continue throughout much of 2026, contingent on Federal Reserve policy and overall economic stability. The decrease in Cavco's order backlog is a clear indicator of this softening demand.

Strategic Adaptation: The Rise of Factory-Direct Sales

However, Cavco isn't simply reacting to the downturn. A key positive within the earnings report is the increase in factory-direct sales. This suggests a deliberate strategy to bypass traditional dealership networks, offering consumers more competitive pricing and greater control over the sales process. This direct-to-consumer model allows Cavco to capture a larger portion of the retail price, improving margins and fostering stronger customer relationships. Industry analysts view this as a smart move, positioning Cavco to be less reliant on third-party dealerships potentially struggling with their own inventory and financing challenges.

Furthermore, expanding factory-direct sales allows Cavco to gather crucial data on consumer preferences and buying behaviors, enabling them to tailor production and product offerings more effectively. This agility is increasingly important in a rapidly evolving market. The company is investing in its digital infrastructure to support this channel, enhancing the online experience and streamlining the purchasing process.

Cavco Finance: A Stabilizing Force

The strong performance of Cavco Finance, the company's wholly-owned finance subsidiary, continues to provide a crucial buffer against market volatility. Offering financing options directly to consumers allows Cavco to overcome some of the hurdles presented by traditional lending institutions, which may be tightening their credit standards. Cavco Finance also generates a significant portion of the company's overall profitability, providing a steady revenue stream even during periods of lower home sales. However, the subsidiary also faces risks related to credit quality and potential defaults, which Cavco closely monitors.

Supply Chain Resilience and Future Outlook

Management acknowledges the ongoing disruptions in the supply chain, a persistent challenge for manufacturers globally. Cavco is proactively addressing these issues through diversification of suppliers and implementation of strategic pricing adjustments. This proactive approach aims to mitigate the impact of material cost increases and ensure a consistent flow of production. They are also investing in automation within their manufacturing facilities to reduce reliance on labor and improve overall efficiency.

Looking ahead, Cavco anticipates continued market volatility. While the near-term outlook remains uncertain, the company expresses cautious optimism, driven by its commitment to strategic growth initiatives and operational excellence. The company plans to host a conference call with investors to provide further details on the earnings results and discuss their strategic roadmap. Key areas of focus will likely include expanding factory-direct sales, strengthening the performance of Cavco Finance, and continuing to optimize the supply chain. The company's ability to navigate these challenges will be crucial in determining its long-term success in the increasingly competitive affordable housing market.


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