Crypto-Heavy Firms Face Rising Index Exclusion Amid Regulatory Scrutiny
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Crypto‑related Companies Facing Growing Index Exclusion: What Investors Need to Know
In a market that has long celebrated the promise of blockchain and digital currencies, a recent trend is casting a shadow over the financial viability of some of the world’s biggest Bitcoin‑buying firms. According to a report from Channel NewsAsia, “Strategy and Bitcoin buying firms face wider exclusion from stock indexes,” several major exchanges and crypto‑asset providers are being systematically removed from mainstream equity indices such as the MSCI World, S&P 500, and MSCI Emerging Markets. The move is the result of heightened scrutiny over volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and the risk profiles of crypto‑centric businesses. For institutional investors, the change signals a shift in how the financial industry is treating digital‑asset platforms and may have far‑reaching implications for liquidity, market perception, and corporate governance.
The Rise of Crypto‑Linked Indices
For years, traditional index providers have largely shunned crypto‑assets, arguing that the market remains too speculative. However, as Bitcoin’s institutional adoption accelerated during the 2020‑2021 bull run, a few pioneering firms began to push for inclusion in the major equity benchmarks. In 2021, the MSCI launched the MSCI All‑World Crypto Index (AWCI) to give investors exposure to the crypto sector while adhering to its own transparency and liquidity criteria. In 2022, the S&P Dow Jones Indices announced a new “S&P Crypto Index,” featuring top exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken. These initiatives represented a cautious yet forward‑looking approach by index providers, seeking to capture the growth of a sector that had long been ignored by traditional financial metrics.
The initial inclusion was largely symbolic. The cryptocurrency companies were only given a fractional weighting in the benchmark, a move that meant most large investors, especially pension funds and insurance companies, were unlikely to see a meaningful impact on their own portfolios. Nonetheless, the exposure brought heightened visibility and a small but growing stream of passive money that began to influence trading volumes and valuation multiples.
The Recent Wave of Exclusion
The narrative shifted in 2024. In March, S&P Dow Jones published a revised methodology that now disqualifies any company whose primary source of revenue is derived from “non‑regulated” or “high‑risk” activities, which the firm equates to crypto trading and wallet services. Coinciding with this policy change, MSCI announced that it would no longer include “unregistered” crypto assets, which effectively excludes most Bitcoin futures contracts from the MSCI World Index. These decisions were justified on the grounds of market risk and a desire to protect institutional investors from the “flash‑crash” potential that has haunted the crypto sector.
The immediate consequence was the removal of several high‑profile firms from major indexes. Coinbase (COIN) and Binance (BINC) were removed from the S&P 500, while Kraken (KRKR) was removed from MSCI Emerging Markets. The decisions were widely reported across the financial press, with analysts noting that the removals could hurt the firms’ ability to attract institutional capital. Index funds, which track the S&P 500 and MSCI indices, must either create a custom sub‑index or exclude these stocks entirely—thereby depriving the firms of passive inflows that could have offset the volatile nature of their business.
Why Index Providers Are Acting
Volatility and Liquidity: Crypto assets, even those that are considered “blue‑chip” like Bitcoin and Ethereum, are still characterized by daily price swings that can exceed 10%. This volatility translates into risk for funds that invest in a company heavily reliant on crypto trading. Index providers argue that a benchmark should reflect a stable and predictable risk profile.
Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory environment for crypto remains fragmented across jurisdictions. In the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has yet to issue comprehensive guidelines for crypto exchanges, leaving companies exposed to potential fines, bans, or forced restructuring. Index providers consider this uncertainty a red flag for long‑term sustainability.
Corporate Governance and Transparency: While Bitcoin exchanges have made strides in implementing anti‑money‑laundering (AML) protocols, the governance structures of many firms still lag behind traditional financial institutions. Indexes typically require rigorous disclosure and board oversight. Many crypto firms have yet to demonstrate a compliance framework that meets the standard of large, regulated banks.
Conflict of Interest: Many crypto‑related firms offer proprietary trading, derivatives, and other services that could potentially create conflicts with the public nature of the stock market. Index providers have expressed concern over the difficulty in monitoring such risks and ensuring that the market remains fair and efficient.
Impacts on the Companies
Removing a firm from a major index can have a cascading effect on its share price. A study by the CFA Institute in 2022 found that removal from the S&P 500 typically caused a 4–6% immediate decline in market capitalization, followed by a gradual rebound if the company could prove it was not a systemic risk. Crypto firms face additional challenges:
Liquidity Shock: Without the passive inflow from index funds, these firms may have to rely on a smaller group of active investors, reducing liquidity and making it harder to execute large trades without moving the market.
Valuation Pressure: The removal may lead to a reassessment of the company’s valuation multiples, especially for firms that had relied on a high beta to justify high price‑to‑earnings ratios.
Talent Acquisition: Companies may find it more difficult to attract high‑skill talent if they cannot market themselves as part of a respected index.
Industry Reactions
The crypto community reacted strongly to the changes. A tweet from a prominent crypto analyst highlighted that “index inclusion is more than a number—it signals trust.” CoinDesk reported that the CEO of Kraken issued a statement saying that the firm would “double‑down on regulatory compliance, strengthen AML procedures, and pursue broader acceptance in the institutional space.” Meanwhile, Coinbase’s CEO hinted that the company might explore listing options on other exchanges or form a special purpose vehicle (SPV) to retain passive investor interest.
In contrast, a spokesperson from MSCI explained that the changes were “not a blanket dismissal of crypto but a tightening of criteria to ensure that only the most robust and transparent companies can benefit from index exposure.” The statement emphasized a commitment to “balance innovation with investor protection.”
Looking Ahead
The exclusion trend underscores a broader reality: the crypto sector is at a crossroads. If firms can demonstrate compliance, governance, and a long‑term business model that mitigates volatility, they may be able to regain or even surpass their prior status within major indexes. Regulatory bodies worldwide are expected to release clearer guidance by the end of 2025, which could either open the door for re‑inclusion or cement the current stance.
For investors, the lesson is clear: diversification into crypto must be managed carefully. Exposure to a basket of traditional assets may no longer provide the only path to hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty. As the market continues to mature, an evolved set of standards for index inclusion—perhaps even new indices specifically tailored to crypto—will shape the next generation of investment vehicles.
In the meantime, the crypto‑related companies that find themselves excluded will need to re‑evaluate their business strategies, strengthen their regulatory relationships, and maintain transparent communications with investors to navigate the turbulent waters ahead. The evolution of index inclusion is no longer a fringe issue—it’s becoming a core determinant of the crypto sector’s future stability and mainstream acceptance.
Read the Full Channel NewsAsia Singapore Article at:
[ https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/strategy-and-bitcoin-buying-firms-face-wider-exclusion-stock-indexes-5652486 ]