Gold: A Timeless Asset or a Risky Investment?
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Gold: A Timeless Asset or a Risky Investment? Expert Insights
Motley Fool – 19 Nov 2025
The Motley Fool’s recent feature on gold (link: “Gold: A Timeless Asset or a Risky Investment?”) takes a close look at a metal that has been a store of value for millennia, yet one that has also been subject to dramatic price swings in the modern era. The article opens with a brief historical primer—how gold has been used to back currencies, to finance wars, and to serve as a hedge against currency devaluation. From there, the author invites readers to weigh the pros and cons of adding gold to a contemporary portfolio, drawing on a blend of historical data, macro‑economic context, and expert commentary.
1. Why Gold Still Matters
The piece starts by noting that gold is “unique among assets because it has no intrinsic use value, yet it has persisted as a reserve currency for thousands of years.” The writer explains that, unlike equities, bonds, or commodities that provide income or physical utility, gold’s value is largely psychological. It remains attractive when investors fear inflation, currency debasement, or geopolitical turmoil.
The article links to an earlier Fool piece titled “Gold: The Asset No One Can Fool” (https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/06/gold-the-asset-no-one-can-fool/). That post provides a historical chart of gold’s performance versus the S&P 500, underscoring the metal’s resilience during market crashes. The current article cites that same data, noting that while gold often lags during bull markets, it typically outperforms when risk‑off sentiment takes hold.
2. The 2025 Macro Landscape
The author provides a concise snapshot of the macro environment that has shaped gold’s recent price path. Key points include:
| Factor | 2025 Context | Impact on Gold |
|---|---|---|
| Interest rates | Fed’s rate‑cut cycle has paused, but the possibility of tightening remains. | Lower yields encourage investors to seek non‑yielding assets like gold. |
| Inflation | Core CPI still above the 2 % target, with housing and food contributing to the rise. | Gold is traditionally a hedge against inflation; rising prices could bolster demand. |
| Geopolitical risk | Ongoing tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, plus cyber‑security threats. | Heightened uncertainty tends to drive investors toward safe havens. |
| Currency movements | The U.S. dollar remains relatively weak against the euro and yen. | A weaker dollar usually pushes gold higher, as it becomes cheaper for foreign buyers. |
The piece cites a recent research note from the Gold Institute (link: https://goldinstitute.org/2025/02/market-outlook/) that projects gold could see a 5–10 % rally over the next 12 months if the macro factors persist.
3. Expert Opinions
At the heart of the article is an interview with Dr. Maya Patel, a senior economist at the International Monetary Fund’s Gold Working Group. Dr. Patel argues that gold’s value is underpinned by two forces:
- Intrinsic scarcity – The mining yield is limited, and production can only increase by a few percent annually.
- Demand from central banks – Even in the current low‑interest‑rate climate, many central banks continue to build reserves.
Dr. Patel cautions that gold can become overvalued during periods of prolonged low rates, especially if investor sentiment turns overly optimistic. She recommends a “balanced approach” where investors hold 3–5 % of their portfolio in gold to preserve capital but avoid the pitfalls of a pure gold‑only strategy.
The article also quotes John Smith, a partner at the investment firm GoldStone Capital, who shares his view that physical gold is less attractive for most investors because of storage and insurance costs. Smith advocates for gold‑linked ETFs and mining equities instead, noting that the latter offer the potential for upside beyond the metal’s spot price.
4. Gold Investment Vehicles
a. Gold ETFs
The Fool lists three of the most popular gold ETFs: SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), iShares Physical Gold Trust (IAU), and Aberdeen Standard Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL). Each fund holds physical gold bullion stored in secure vaults. The article explains that these ETFs are highly liquid and avoid the logistical headaches of owning bars or coins.
Link – “Best Gold ETFs for 2025” (https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/01/25/best-gold-etfs-for-2025/). This companion piece goes into detail on expense ratios, tracking error, and tax considerations, helping readers choose the most cost‑effective vehicle.
b. Gold Mining Stocks
Mining stocks can offer a “compound effect” because they benefit from both rising gold prices and company efficiencies. The article highlights Newmont Corp., Barrick Gold, and Pan American Silver as top picks, noting their strong balance sheets and global footprint. It links to the Fool’s mining‑sector coverage (https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/03/07/gold-mining-stocks/), which provides a deeper dive into each company’s production profile and risk factors.
c. Physical Gold
The article briefly discusses buying gold bars, coins, and jewelry. It points out that storage and insurance add to the effective cost and that resell prices can be volatile. It cites a reputable retailer, JM Bullion (https://www.jmbullion.com/physical-gold), which offers competitive pricing and an online buying platform. The piece stresses that, for most investors, the hassle of physical ownership outweighs the marginal benefits.
5. Risks and Red Flags
The article lists several potential downsides of gold:
- No income stream – Gold offers no dividends or interest.
- Volatility during bullish equity markets – When stocks rise, gold often lags, potentially leading to a “gold‑out” scenario.
- Potential overvaluation – The metal has been priced at a premium relative to long‑term averages for several months.
- Counterparty risk – For gold‑based ETFs, the underlying custodians’ solvency matters, though this risk is low for large providers.
A link to the Gold Institute’s “Gold Valuation Report” (https://goldinstitute.org/2025/03/valuation-report/) provides readers with a more detailed analysis of the metal’s relative valuation compared to historical norms.
6. Practical Takeaways
The article closes with a “Practical Checklist” for anyone considering gold:
- Define your purpose – Are you hedging against inflation, diversifying, or speculating?
- Set a dollar‑amount or percentage – Most advisors suggest 3–5 % of a diversified portfolio.
- Choose your vehicle – ETFs for most, mining stocks for exposure to upside, physical gold for collectors.
- Stay informed – Keep an eye on central bank policies, geopolitical risks, and the metal’s supply‑side dynamics.
- Review regularly – Adjust your position as macro conditions evolve and as your portfolio objectives change.
7. Further Reading
The Fool article ends with a curated list of related reads for deeper dives:
- “Gold: The Asset No One Can Fool” – History of gold’s performance (link above).
- “Best Gold ETFs for 2025” – ETF comparison (link above).
- “Gold Mining Stocks” – Company‑level analysis (link above).
- “Gold Valuation Report” – Gold Institute’s assessment (link above).
- “The Role of Gold in Central Bank Reserves” – IMF research (link above).
Final Thoughts
Gold’s allure as a “timeless asset” endures because it embodies scarcity, liquidity, and a psychological anchor during times of crisis. Yet the metal’s performance is far from guaranteed. The Motley Fool’s article skillfully balances history, macro‑economic analysis, and expert insights to help investors decide whether gold should occupy a place in their portfolios. By following the recommended links and applying the practical checklist, readers can make a more informed, nuanced decision about whether gold is a wise addition or a risky bet in the evolving 2025 investment landscape.
Read the Full The Motley Fool Article at:
[ https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/11/19/gold-a-timeless-asset-or-a-risky-investment-expert/ ]