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Tue, August 30, 2011

KMP, SXL, MWE, APL, RGP, BPL, Oil and Gas - Pipeline Stocks Overvalued


Published on 2011-08-30 06:42:16 - WOPRAI
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August 30, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Oil and Gas - Pipeline sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. KINDER MORGAN ENERGY PRTNRS (NYSE:KMP), SUNOCO LOGISTICS PARTNERS LP (NYSE:SXL), MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NYSE:MWE), ATLAS PIPELINE PARTNERS LP (NYSE:APL), (NYSE:RGP), BUCKEYE PARTNERS LP (NYSE:BPL) are all expected to go Down as they are Overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     KMP        KINDER MORGAN ENERGY PRTNRS         69.1           65.34          5.80% Overvalued            Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     SXL        SUNOCO LOGISTICS PARTNERS LP        84             70.45          19.20% Overvalued           Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     MWE        MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS LP         46.33          42.05          10.20% Overvalued           Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     APL        ATLAS PIPELINE PARTNERS LP          29.85          27.54          8.40% Overvalued            Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     RGP                                            23.59          18.68          26.30% Overvalued           Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     BPL        BUCKEYE PARTNERS LP                 62.14          54.04          15.00% Overvalued           Oil and Gas - Pipeline 

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

KINDER MORGAN ENERGY PRTNRS (NYSE:KMP) - Kinder Morgan Energy Partners, L.P. owns and manages energy transportation and storage assets. Its Products Pipelines segment delivers gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, and natural gas liquids to various markets through approximately 8,400 miles of refined petroleum products pipelines, and 60 associated product terminals and petroleum pipeline transmix processing facilities. The companys Natural Gas Pipelines segment gathers, transports, stores, processes, and sells natural gas through approximately 15,500 miles of natural gas transmission pipelines and gathering lines, as well as natural gas storage, treating, and processing facilities. Its CO2 segment produces and transports carbon dioxide through approximately 2,000 miles of pipelines to oil fields that use carbon dioxide to increase production of oil. It also owns and operates 8 oil fields, and a 450 mile crude oil pipeline system in west Texas. The companys Terminals segment transloads, stores, and delivers bulk, petroleum, petrochemical, and other liquids products through approximately 124 liquid and bulk terminal facilities; and approximately 33 rail transloading and materials handling facilities. Its Kinder Morgan Canada segment transports crude oil and refined petroleum products through approximately 2,500 miles of pipelines from Alberta, Canada to marketing terminals and refineries in British Columbia, the state of Washington, and the Rocky Mountains, as well as in the central regions of the United States. This segment also owns and operates a 25-mile aviation turbine fuel pipeline that serves the Vancouver International Airport. Kinder Morgan G.P., Inc. serves as the general partner of the company. It operates primarily in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Houston, Texas.

SUNOCO LOGISTICS PARTNERS LP (NYSE:SXL) - Sunoco Logistics Partners L.P. engages in the transport, terminalling, and storage of refined products and crude oil, as well as the purchase and sale of crude oil in the United States. Its Refined Products Pipeline System segment owns and operates approximately 2,200 miles of refined product pipelines that transport gasoline, heating oil, diesel and jet fuel, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). This segment also includes approximately 100-mile refined products Harbor pipeline, and 50 miles of inter refinery pipelines; and various joint venture interests in refined product pipeline companies. The companys Terminal Facilities segment consists of 42 refined product terminals with an aggregate storage capacity of 7.2 million barrels, primarily serving the Refined Products Pipeline System; the Nederland Terminal, a 20.2 million barrel marine crude oil terminal on the Texas Gulf Coast; a 2.0 million barrel refined products terminal serving Sunocos Marcus Hook refinery near Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; 1 inland and 2 marine crude oil terminals with a combined capacity of 3.4 million barrels, and related pipelines that serve Sunocos Philadelphia refinery; and a 1.0 million barrel LPG terminal near Detroit, Michigan. Its Crude Oil Pipeline System segment gathers, purchases, sells, and transports crude oil principally in Oklahoma and Texas. This segment consists of approximately 4,900 miles of crude oil trunk pipelines; approximately 500 miles of crude oil gathering lines; approximately 110 crude oil transport trucks; and approximately 100 crude oil truck unloading facilities. This segment also holds a 91% interest in the Mid-Valley Pipeline Company that owns approximately 1,000 miles of crude oil pipelines; a 60.3% interest in West Texas Gulf Pipe Line Company, which includes approximately 600 miles of crude oil pipe; and a 37.0 percent undivided interest in the 100-mile Mesa Pipe Line system. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NYSE:MWE) - MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas in the United States. The company also transports, fractionates, storages, and markets natural gas liquids; and gathers and transports crude oil. It conducts its operations in the Southwest, the Northeast, Liberty, and the Gulf Coast. MarkWest Energy GP, L.L.C. serves as the general partner of the company. MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P. was founded in 1988 and is based in Denver, Colorado.

ATLAS PIPELINE PARTNERS LP (NYSE:APL) - Atlas Pipeline Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in gathering and processing natural gas. It provides natural gas gathering services in the Anadarko and Permian Basins located in the southwestern and mid-continent United States; and the Appalachian Basin in the eastern United States. The company owns and operates 8 natural gas processing plants with an aggregate capacity of approximately 900 million cubic feet per day and 1 treating facility with a capacity of approximately 200 million cubic feet per day. These facilities are connected to approximately 9,100 miles of active natural gas gathering systems located in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas, which gather gas from wells and central delivery points to the companys natural gas processing and treating plants, as well as third-party pipelines. In addition, it owns and operates approximately 1,800 miles of natural gas gathering systems in the Appalachian Basin located in the northeastern United States, as well as approximately 80 miles of active natural gas gathering pipelines located in northeastern Tennessee. Atlas Pipeline Partners GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Atlas Pipeline Partners was founded in 1999 and is based in Moon Township, Pennsylvania.

(NYSE:RGP) -

BUCKEYE PARTNERS LP (NYSE:BPL) - Buckeye Partners, L.P. primarily operates refined petroleum products pipeline systems in the United States. The companys Pipeline Operations segment transports refined petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel, diesel fuel, heating oil, and kerosene to terminals and airports located within end-use markets. This segment also transports other refined products, such as propane and butane, refinery feedstock, and blending components. Its Terminalling and Storage segment provides bulk storage and throughput services to refined petroleum products and other renewable fuels. The companys Natural Gas Storage segment provides natural gas storage services through a facility located in northern California. Its Energy Services segment distributes refined petroleum products, including gasoline; propane; and petroleum distillates, such as heating oil, diesel fuel, and kerosene to wholesalers and commercial users. The companys Development and Logistics segment offers terminal and pipeline operations and maintenance services, and related construction services for third parties, as well as provides engineering and construction management services to chemical companies. It also owns and leases a portion of its pipeline to a third-party chemical company; owns interest in a crude butadiene pipeline; and owns and operates an ammonia pipeline located in Texas. As of December 31, 2009, it owned and operated approximately 5,400 miles of independent refined petroleum products pipeline system and 67 products terminals; operated and maintained approximately 2,400 miles of pipeline under agreements with oil and chemical companies; and owned and operated a natural gas storage facility in northern California, which provided approximately 40 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage capacity in the United States. Buckeye GP LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Buckeye Partners was founded in 1986 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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