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EPB, PAA, MMP, AEC, EQR, MAA, Oil and Gas - Pipeline Stocks Overvalued

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^{Published in Stocks and Investing on Tuesday, August 30th 2011 at 6:42 GMT by WOPRAI}  

August 30, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Oil and Gas - Pipeline sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. EL PASO PIPELINE PARTNERS LP (NYSE:EPB), PLAINS ALL AMER PIPELINE LP (NYSE:PAA), MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (NYSE:MMP), ASSOCIATED ESTATES REALTY CP (NYSE:AEC), EQUITY RESIDENTIAL (NYSE:EQR), MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMM (NYSE:MAA) are all expected to go Down as they are Overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     EPB        EL PASO PIPELINE PARTNERS LP        36.18          35.4           2.20% Overvalued            Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     PAA        PLAINS ALL AMER PIPELINE LP         59.7           57.73          3.40% Overvalued            Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     MMP        MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS         59.62          46.17          29.10% Overvalued           Oil and Gas - Pipeline 
     AEC        ASSOCIATED ESTATES REALTY CP        17.51          12.13          44.40% Overvalued           REIT - Residential     
     EQR        EQUITY RESIDENTIAL                  60.16          48.49          24.10% Overvalued           REIT - Residential     
     MAA        MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMM          70.27          59.44          18.20% Overvalued           REIT - Residential     

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

EL PASO PIPELINE PARTNERS LP (NYSE:EPB) - El Paso Pipeline Partners, L.P. engages in the ownership and operation of natural gas transportation pipelines and storage assets in the United States. The company holds a 100% interest in Wyoming Interstate Company, Ltd. (WIC), an interstate pipeline transportation company located in Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado. It operates approximately 800-mile WIC interstate natural gas pipeline system with a design capacity of approximately 3.5 billion cubic feet per day. The company also owns a 58% general partner interest in Colorado Interstate Gas Company, which operates an interstate natural gas pipeline system with approximately 4,300 miles of pipeline with a design capacity of approximately 4.6 billion cubic feet per day; and associated storage facilities with 37 billion cubic feet of underground working natural gas storage capacity. In addition, it owns a 60% general partner interest in Southern Natural Gas Company that operates an interstate natural gas pipeline system with approximately 7,600 miles of pipeline with a design capacity of approximately 3.7 billion cubic feet per day; and associated storage facilities with a total of approximately 60 billion cubic feet of underground working natural gas storage capacity. Further, the company owns interests in Elba Express Company, L.L.C., which operates an approximately 200-mile pipeline with a design capacity of 945 million cubic feet per day; and Southern LNG Company, L.L.C. that owns a liquefied natural gas receiving terminal with a storage capacity of 11.5 equivalent billion cubic feet. It serves natural gas distribution and industrial companies, electric generation companies, natural gas producers, other natural gas pipeline companies, and natural gas marketing and trading companies. El Paso Pipeline GP Company, L.L.C. serves as the general partner of the company. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Houston, Texas. El Paso Pipeline Partners, L.P. is a subsidiary of El Paso Pipeline LP Holdings, L.L.C.

PLAINS ALL AMER PIPELINE LP (NYSE:PAA) - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. engages in the transportation, storage, terminalling, and marketing of crude oil, refined products, and liquefied petroleum gas and other natural gas-related petroleum products (LPG) in the United States and Canada. It operates in three segments: Transportation, Facilities, and Supply and Logistics. The Transportation segment involves in transporting crude oil and refined products on pipelines, gathering systems, trucks, and barges. As of December 31, 2010, this segment had 16,000 miles of active crude oil and refined products pipelines and gathering systems; 25 million barrels of above-ground tank capacity used primarily to facilitate pipeline throughput; 56 trucks and 352 trailers; and 65 transport and storage barges, and 39 transport tugs. The Facilities segment provides storage, terminalling, and throughput services for crude oil, refined products, and LPG and natural gas, as well as offers LPG fractionation and isomerization services. The Supply and Logistics segment purchases crude oil at the wellhead, and pipeline and terminal facilities; foreign cargoes at their load port and various other locations in transit; and refined products and LPG from producers, refiners, and other marketers. This segment also resells or exchanges crude oil, refined products, and LPG at various points along the distribution chain to refiners or other resellers; and transports crude oil, refined products, and LPG on trucks, barges, railcars, pipelines, and ocean-going vessels. It had 522 trucks and 630 trailers; and 1,473 railcars. The company also develops and operates natural gas storage facilities. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. was founded in 1998 and is based in Houston, Texas.

MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (NYSE:MMP) - Magellan Midstream Partners transports, stores, and distributes refined petroleum products. Its pipelines run from the Texas Gulf Coast to Colorado, Illinois, Minnesota, and North Dakota. It also pipes ammonia Texas and Oklahoma to the Midwest. Customers include independent and integrated oil companies, wholesalers, retailers, railroads, airlines, and regional farm cooperatives. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Tulsa.

ASSOCIATED ESTATES REALTY CP (NYSE:AEC) - Associated Estates Realty Corporation operates as a self-administered and self-managed equity real estate investment trust in the United States. It engages in property acquisition, advisory, development, management, disposition, operation, and ownership of multifamily residential units. As of June 30, 2005, it owned or property managed 113 apartment communities in 11 states consisting of 24,203 units. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under the Internal Revenue Code. The company would not be taxed on the portion of its income, which is distributed to shareholders, provided it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income. Associated Estates Realty Corp. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Richmond Heights, Ohio.

EQUITY RESIDENTIAL (NYSE:EQR) - Equity Residential, a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the acquisition, development, and management of multifamily properties in the United States. As of December 31, 2007, it owned and invested in 579 properties in 24 states and the District of Columbia consisting of 152,821 units. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. Equity Residential was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMM (NYSE:MAA) - Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc., a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in acquiring, owning, and operating apartment communities primarily in the Sunbelt region of the United States. As of December 31, 2007, Mid-America owned 100% of 137 properties representing 40,248 apartment units. The company qualifies as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax to the extent it distributes 90% of taxable income to its shareholders. The company was founded in 1977 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee.

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