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mfc, gnw, rga, pl, lnc, pnx, Life Insurance Stocks 81.42% overvalued

^{Published on 2011-03-14 10:20:45 - WOPRAI}
 

March 14, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Life Insurance sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP (NYSE:mfc), GENWORTH FINANCIAL INC-CL A (NYSE:gnw), REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA (NYSE:rga), PROTECTIVE LIFE CORP (NYSE:pl), LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP (NYSE:lnc), PHOENIX COMPANIES INC (NYSE:pnx) are all expected to go Down as they are overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     mfc        MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP             17.88          9.86           81.42% overvalued           Life Insurance         
     gnw        GENWORTH FINANCIAL INC-CL A         13             10.58          22.84% overvalued           Life Insurance         
     rga        REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA        60.21          48.96          22.97% overvalued           Life Insurance         
     pl         PROTECTIVE LIFE CORP                27.18          25.64          6.02% overvalued            Life Insurance         
     lnc        LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP               30.28          28.2           7.36% overvalued            Life Insurance         
     pnx        PHOENIX COMPANIES INC               2.46           0.62           300.00% overvalued          Life Insurance         

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP (NYSE:mfc) - Manulife Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a life insurance company. It provides a range of financial products and services, including individual life insurance, group life and health insurance, long-term care insurance, pension products, annuities, and mutual funds to individual and group customers in the United States, Canada, and Asia. The company also offers reinsurance services, specializing in life retrocession, and property and casualty reinsurance, as well as provides investment management services to mutual funds and institutional customers. Manulife Financial Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

GENWORTH FINANCIAL INC-CL A (NYSE:gnw) - Genworth Financial, Inc., a financial security company, provides insurance, wealth management, investment, and financial solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Retirement and Protection, International, and U.S. Mortgage Insurance. The Retirement and Protection segment offers various protection products, including life, long-term care, Medicare supplement insurance, and senior supplemental products, as well as care co-ordination services; and wealth management and retirement income products, such as managed account programs and advisor services, financial planning services, fixed and variable deferred and immediate individual annuities, and group variable annuities. The International segment provides mortgage insurance products in Canada, Australia, Mexico, and European countries, as well as offers payment protection coverages. This segment also provides various services, analytical tools, and technology that enable lenders to manage risk. The U.S. Mortgage Insurance segment offers mortgage insurance products principally insuring prime-based, individually underwritten residential mortgage loans, known as flow mortgage insurance. Additionally, the company provides institutional products consisting of funding agreements, funding agreements backing notes, and guaranteed investment contracts; and corporate-owned life insurance products. It primarily serves individual investors, institutional customers, financial institutions, mortgage originators, banks, building societies, credit unions, and non bank mortgage originators. Genworth Financial distributes its products and services through financial intermediaries, advisors, independent distributors, affinity groups, and sales specialists. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA (NYSE:rga) - Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated, an insurance holding company, engages in individual and group life, annuity, asset-intensive, critical illness, and financial reinsurance in the United States, Canada, Europe, South Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides reinsurance for a portfolio of life insurance products, including term life, credit life, universal life, whole life, group life, joint and last survivor insurance, and critical illness, as well as annuities and financial reinsurance. The companys asset-intensive reinsurance products primarily include reinsurance of corporate-owned life insurance and annuities. It also offers reinsurance for mortality, morbidity, lapse risks, and investment-related risks. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Chesterfield, Missouri.

PROTECTIVE LIFE CORP (NYSE:pl) - Protective Life Corporation and its subsidiaries engage in the production, distribution, and administration of insurance and investment products in the United States. It operates in five segments: Life Marketing, Acquisitions, Annuities, Stable Value Products, and Asset Protection. The Life Marketing segment markets level premium term insurance, universal life, variable universal life, and bank owned life insurance products through various distribution channels, as well as a network of independent personal producing general agents. The Acquisitions segment focuses on acquiring, converting, and servicing life insurance policies and annuity products sold to individuals, which are acquired from other companies. The Annuities segment markets, supports, and sells fixed and variable annuity products through broker-dealers, financial institutions, and independent agents and brokers. Its fixed annuities include modified guaranteed annuities, single premium deferred annuities, single premium immediate annuities, and equity indexed annuities; and variable annuities offer the opportunity to the policyholder to invest in various investment accounts. The Stable Value Products segment sells guaranteed funding agreements to special purpose entities, as well as markets fixed and floating rate funding agreements directly to the trustees of municipal bond proceeds, institutional investors, bank trust departments, and money market funds. It also markets guaranteed investment contracts and other qualified retirement savings plans. The Asset Protection segment primarily markets extended service contracts and credit life and disability insurance to protect consumers investments in automobiles, watercraft, and recreational vehicles; and markets a guaranteed asset protection product. It markets its products through a network of approximately 3,750 automobile, marine, and recreational vehicle dealers. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.

LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP (NYSE:lnc) - Lincoln National Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in multiple insurance and retirement businesses in the United States. It sells a range of wealth protection, accumulation, and retirement income products and solutions. These products include fixed and indexed annuities, variable annuities, universal life insurance (UL), variable universal life insurance (VUL), linked-benefit UL, term life insurance, mutual funds, and group life insurance. The company also provides employer-sponsored fixed and variable annuities, and mutual fund-based programs; single and survivorship versions of UL and VUL, including corporate-owned UL and VUL, and bank-owned UL and VUL products to small and mid-sized banks and large-sized corporations; and group non-medical insurance products, principally term life, disability, and dental. Lincoln National Corporation distributes its products through a range of intermediaries, including financial advisors, consultants, brokers, banks, wirehouses, planners, third party administrators, and other intermediaries. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania.

PHOENIX COMPANIES INC (NYSE:pnx) - The Phoenix Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides life insurance and annuity products in the United States. The companys life insurance products include universal life, variable universal life, and other products. It also offers single life, first-to-die, and second-to-die insurance products. Its annuity products include fixed, variable, and other types of annuities, which it offers in deferred and immediate varieties. In addition, the company offers a hybrid insurance/investment product, which adds a lifetime income guarantee to an investors managed account assets; and manages fixed income investments for third parties, including mutual funds, pension plans, and endowments. The company offers its products through third-party distributors, wholesalers, and financial planning specialists. The Phoenix Companies, Inc. was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut.

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