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ACC, AEC, EQR, MAA, ELS, CLP, REIT - Equity Trust Residential Stocks Overvalued

^{Published on 2011-09-16 07:00:42 - WOPRAI}
 

September 16, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the REIT - Equity Trust Residential sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. AMERICAN CAMPUS COMMUNITIES (NYSE:ACC), ASSOCIATED ESTATES REALTY CP (NYSE:AEC), EQUITY RESIDENTIAL (NYSE:EQR), MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMM (NYSE:MAA), EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES (NYSE:ELS), COLONIAL PROPERTIES TRUST (NYSE:CLP) are all expected to go Down as they are Overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     ACC        AMERICAN CAMPUS COMMUNITIES         $39.40         $38.84         1.40% Overvalued            REIT - Equity Trust Residential
     AEC        ASSOCIATED ESTATES REALTY CP        $17.28         $12.52         38.00% Overvalued           REIT - Equity Trust Residential
     EQR        EQUITY RESIDENTIAL                  $58.65         $56.41         4.00% Overvalued            REIT - Equity Trust Residential
     MAA        MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMM          $68.94         $62.47         10.40% Overvalued           REIT - Equity Trust Residential
     ELS        EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES         $71.16         $57.87         23.00% Overvalued           REIT - Equity Trust Residential
     CLP        COLONIAL PROPERTIES TRUST           $21.32         $15.52         37.40% Overvalued           REIT - Equity Trust Residential

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

AMERICAN CAMPUS COMMUNITIES (NYSE:ACC) - American Campus Communities, Inc. (ACC), a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the acquisition, design, finance, development, lease, and management of student housing properties in the United States. As of July 12, 2005, the company owned and managed 25 student housing properties, containing approximately 16,300 beds, as well as managed 44 student housing properties, representing 27,600 beds. ACC also provides construction management and development services for student housing properties owned by colleges and universities, charitable foundations, and others. In addition, it also provides third party property management and leasing services. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT under sections 856 to 860 of the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax purposes, provided it distributes at least 90% of taxable income to its shareholders. ACC was founded in 1993 and is based in Austin, Texas.

ASSOCIATED ESTATES REALTY CP (NYSE:AEC) - Associated Estates Realty Corporation operates as a self-administered and self-managed equity real estate investment trust in the United States. It engages in property acquisition, advisory, development, management, disposition, operation, and ownership of multifamily residential units. As of June 30, 2005, it owned or property managed 113 apartment communities in 11 states consisting of 24,203 units. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under the Internal Revenue Code. The company would not be taxed on the portion of its income, which is distributed to shareholders, provided it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income. Associated Estates Realty Corp. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Richmond Heights, Ohio.

EQUITY RESIDENTIAL (NYSE:EQR) - Equity Residential, a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the acquisition, development, and management of multifamily properties in the United States. As of December 31, 2007, it owned and invested in 579 properties in 24 states and the District of Columbia consisting of 152,821 units. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. Equity Residential was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMM (NYSE:MAA) - Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc., a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in acquiring, owning, and operating apartment communities primarily in the Sunbelt region of the United States. As of December 31, 2007, Mid-America owned 100% of 137 properties representing 40,248 apartment units. The company qualifies as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax to the extent it distributes 90% of taxable income to its shareholders. The company was founded in 1977 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee.

EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES (NYSE:ELS) - Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. is a publicly owned real estate investment trust (REIT). The firm engages in the ownership and operation of lifestyle oriented properties. Its portfolio of properties include various amenities and common facilities, such as a clubhouse, a swimming pool, laundry facilities, and cable television service, sauna/whirlpool spas, golf courses, tennis, shuffleboard and basketball courts, and exercise rooms. The firm leases developed sites to owners of manufactured homes referred to as resort homes, park models referred to as resort cottages, and recreational vehicles. It primarily invests in the markets of the United States. The firm primarily invests in land with lower maintenance costs and customer turnover costs, high quality real estate in and around major metropolitan areas, high barriers to entry, retirement and vacation destinations, growth markets, and appreciating component of real estate2. It was formerly known as Home Communities, Inc. The firm was founded in 1992 and is based in Chicago, Illinois with additional offices in Clearwater, Florida, Phoenix, Arizona, and Aurora, Colorado.

COLONIAL PROPERTIES TRUST (NYSE:CLP) - Colonial Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The firm engages in the acquisition, development, ownership, management, and leasing of commercial real estate properties. It invests in the public equity and real estate markets of the United States. The firm primarily invests in multifamily, office, retail, and for-sale properties. It develops mixed-use communities and merchant build properties. Colonial Properties Trust was founded on July 9, 1993 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.

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