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WPZ, ETE, OKS, NGLS, RGP, TJX, Oil and Gas Production - MLP Stocks Overvalued

^{Published on 2011-09-16 06:40:39 - WOPRAI}
 

September 16, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Oil and Gas Production - MLP sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. WILLIAMS PARTNERS LP (NYSE:WPZ), ENERGY TRANSFER EQUITY LP (NYSE:ETE), ONEOK PARTNERS LP (NYSE:OKS), TARGA RESOURCES PARTNERS LP (NYSE:NGLS), (NYSE:RGP), TJX COMPANIES INC (NYSE:TJX) are all expected to go Down as they are Overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     WPZ        WILLIAMS PARTNERS LP                $54.82         $46.47         18.00% Overvalued           Oil and Gas Production - MLP
     ETE        ENERGY TRANSFER EQUITY LP           $38.23         $35.63         7.30% Overvalued            Oil and Gas Production - MLP
     OKS        ONEOK PARTNERS LP                   $43.96         $39.57         11.10% Overvalued           Oil and Gas Production - MLP
     NGLS       TARGA RESOURCES PARTNERS LP         $34.60         $31.19         10.90% Overvalued           Oil and Gas Production - MLP
     RGP                                            $22.17         $20.56         7.80% Overvalued            Oil and Gas Production - MLP
     TJX        TJX COMPANIES INC                   $55.58         $54.96         1.10% Overvalued            Retail - Discount and Variety

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

WILLIAMS PARTNERS LP (NYSE:WPZ) - Williams Partners L.P., a diversified master limited partnership, focuses on transporting; gathering, treating, and processing; storing natural gas; and natural gas liquid fractionating and oil transporting activities. The company operates in two segments, Gas Pipeline, and Midstream Gas and Liquids. The Gas Pipeline segment owns and operates approximately 13,900 miles of pipelines with annual throughput of approximately 2,700 trillion British thermal units of natural gas and delivery capacity of approximately 12 million dekatherms of gas. This segment also owns interests in joint venture interstate and intrastate natural gas pipeline systems. The Midstream Gas and Liquids segment operations include natural gas gathering, treating, and processing, as well as oil transportation pipelines that serve the producing basins in Colorado, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, the Gulf Coast, and the Gulf of Mexico. Williams Partners GP LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Williams Partners L.P. was founded in 2005 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

ENERGY TRANSFER EQUITY LP (NYSE:ETE) - Energy Transfer Equity, L.P., through its direct and indirect investments in the limited partner and general partner interests in Energy Transfer Partners, L.P., engages in midstream, intrastate, and interstate transportation of natural gas, as well as in storage of natural gas in the United States. The companys Intrastate Transportation and Storage segment engages in the ownership and operation of natural gas transportation pipelines and natural gas storage facilities. As of December 31, 2009, it owned and operated approximately 7,800 miles of natural gas transportation pipelines and 3 natural gas storage facilities. This segment sells natural gas to electric utilities, independent power plants, local distribution companies, industrial end-users, and other marketing companies on the Houston pipeline system. Its Interstate Transportation segment involves owns and operates interstate natural gas pipeline. It owned and operates approximately 2,700 miles of interstate natural gas pipeline with an additional 180 miles under construction. The companys Midstream segment engages in the ownership and operation of in service natural gas gathering pipelines, natural gas processing plants, natural gas treating facilities, and natural gas conditioning facilities. This segment owned and operated approximately 7,000 miles of in service natural gas gathering pipelines, 3 natural gas processing plants, 11 natural gas treating facilities, and 11 natural gas conditioning facilities. Its Retail Propane segment operates a retail distribution network consisting of approximately 440 customer service locations in approximately 40 states. The company was formerly known as La Grange Energy, L.P. Energy Transfer Equity, L.P. was founded in 2002 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

ONEOK PARTNERS LP (NYSE:OKS) - ONEOK Partners, L.P. engages in the gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of natural gas in the United States. The companys Natural Gas Gathering and Processing segment gathers and processes natural gas produced from crude oil and natural gas wells located in the Mid-Continent region; and gathers natural gas in the Williston Basin, which spans portions of Montana and North Dakota, and the Powder River Basin of Wyoming. Its Natural Gas Pipelines segment primarily owns and operates regulated natural gas transmission pipelines, natural gas storage facilities, and natural gas gathering systems for non-processed gas. It also provides interstate natural gas transportation and storage services. This segments interstate natural gas pipeline assets transport natural gas through FERC-regulated interstate natural gas pipelines in North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Texas, and New Mexico. In addition, it transports intrastate natural gas through its assets in Oklahoma; and owns underground natural gas storage facilities in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. Its Natural Gas Liquids segment gathers, fractionates, and treats natural gas liquids (NGLs), as well as stores NGL products primarily in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. This segment owns FERC-regulated natural gas liquids gathering and distribution pipelines in Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas, Wyoming, and Colorado; terminal and storage facilities in Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois; and FERC-regulated natural gas liquids distribution and refined petroleum products pipelines in Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana that connect its Mid-Continent assets with Midwest markets, including Chicago, Illinois. ONEOK Partners GP serves as the general partner of the company. It was formerly known as Northern Border Partners, L.P. and changed its name to ONEOK Partners, L.P. in May 2006. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

TARGA RESOURCES PARTNERS LP (NYSE:NGLS) - Targa Resources Partners LP provides midstream natural gas and natural gas liquid (NGL) services in the United States. The company operates through two divisions, Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, and NGL Logistics and Marketing. The Natural Gas Gathering and Processing division engages in gathering, compressing, dehydrating, treating, conditioning, processing, marketing, and transporting natural gas and NGLs. This segment operates in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the Fort Worth Basin in North Texas, and the onshore region of the Louisiana Gulf Coast. As of December 31, 2009, it owned and operated approximately 6,500 miles of natural gas pipelines and approximately 750 miles of NGL pipelines. The NGL Logistics and Marketing division involves in fractionation, storage, terminalling, transportation, distribution, and marketing of NGLs. It operates in the Mont Belvieu and Galena Park near Houston, Texas; and Lake Charles, Louisiana. Targa Resources GP LLC serves as the general partner of the company. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Houston, Texas.

(NYSE:RGP) -

TJX COMPANIES INC (NYSE:TJX) - The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as an off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions in the United States and internationally. Its stores offer apparel, including footwear and accessories; home fashions, including home basics, accent furniture, lamps, rugs, wall decor, decorative accessories, and giftware; jewelry and accessories; mens and juniors offerings; childrens furniture; seasonal merchandise; and other merchandise. The company operates its stores under the T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, A.J. Wright, Winners, HomeSense, and T.K. MAXX trademarks. As of February 24, 2010, it operated 890 T.J. Maxx, 813 Marshalls, 323 HomeGoods, and 150 A.J. Wright stores in the U.S.; 208 Winners, 79 HomeSense, and 3 STYLESENSE stores in Canada; and 263 T.K. Maxx and 14 HomeSense stores in Europe. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Framingham, Massachusetts.

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