J&J Stock Soars 55%, But Can Momentum Last?
Locales: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, UNITED STATES

Friday, February 13th, 2026 - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) has captivated investors with a robust 55% surge in its stock price since the beginning of 2024. This impressive performance is largely attributable to the strategic spin-off of its consumer health division, Kenvue, completed in late 2023. However, as the stock enjoys these gains, a crucial question for both prospective and current investors remains: can JNJ sustain this momentum, or is it time to reassess its potential?
The Kenvue Transformation: More Than Just a Spin-Off
The decision to separate Kenvue wasn't merely a financial maneuver; it represented a fundamental shift in JNJ's corporate strategy. For years, the consumer health segment, while a consistent revenue generator, had begun to lag behind in growth compared to the pharmaceutical and medical device divisions. The spin-off has allowed JNJ to sharpen its focus on these higher-margin, higher-growth areas, streamlining operations and unlocking significant value. Analysts at the time predicted the move would improve profitability by reducing the complexity of managing a diverse portfolio, and initial results seem to confirm those expectations. Kenvue, now operating as an independent entity, can pursue its own strategies tailored to the consumer market, while JNJ can dedicate resources to innovation within its core businesses. The successful launch of Kenvue as a publicly traded company also provided an immediate boost to JNJ's stock price, driven by investor enthusiasm for a more focused and agile JNJ.
The Shadow of Litigation: Talc Lawsuits Continue to Loom
Despite the positive effects of the Kenvue spin-off, JNJ continues to grapple with substantial legal challenges, most notably the ongoing talc lawsuits. These claims, alleging a link between JNJ's talc-based products and cancer, have resulted in billions of dollars paid out in settlements and verdicts. While the company discontinued the sale of talc-based products years ago and attempted to mitigate its legal exposure through a controversial bankruptcy filing of a subsidiary designed to handle the claims, the issue remains a significant drag on the stock. The bankruptcy strategy is currently being contested in courts, adding further uncertainty. The sheer volume of pending claims and the potential for future negative rulings create a persistent headwind that investors cannot ignore. The financial implications of these lawsuits are difficult to fully quantify, adding a layer of risk to any investment in JNJ. Recent court decisions regarding the bankruptcy proceedings have been mixed, leading to volatility in the stock price even amidst generally positive news.
Valuation Concerns: Has the Market Priced in the Future?
Currently, JNJ is trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio around 17x, which is slightly elevated compared to its historical average. While not exceptionally high, it suggests the stock may be approaching fair value or even entering overvalued territory. The impressive stock price appreciation has also led to a decrease in the dividend yield, a key attraction for income-focused investors. This reduced yield, combined with a potentially stretched valuation, makes JNJ less appealing to investors prioritizing regular income. A thorough discounted cash flow analysis is necessary to determine whether the current price adequately reflects the company's future earnings potential, considering both the opportunities and risks.
Future Growth Drivers: Pipeline and Innovation
Looking ahead, JNJ's pharmaceutical pipeline remains a crucial factor for future growth. The company is developing a range of promising drug candidates targeting significant unmet needs in areas such as oncology, immunology, and neuroscience. Investments in research and development are expected to yield several new product launches in the coming years, potentially driving revenue growth. Furthermore, the medical device business is benefiting from the increasing demand for minimally invasive surgical procedures and cutting-edge technologies like robotic surgery and digital health solutions. However, JNJ also faces intensifying competition in both the pharmaceutical and medical device markets, alongside growing pressure on drug pricing and healthcare cost containment. Navigating these challenges will be critical for sustaining long-term growth.
Investment Strategy: A Cautious Approach is Warranted
Johnson & Johnson remains a fundamentally strong company with a long history of innovation and financial stability. However, the substantial gains already realized in the stock price, coupled with ongoing legal risks and a potentially high valuation, warrant a cautious approach. New investors should carefully weigh the risks and rewards before initiating a position. Existing shareholders may consider strategically taking profits or reducing their exposure to mitigate potential downside risk. A diversified portfolio and a long-term investment horizon are advisable when considering JNJ at its current price. The company's next earnings report and updates on the talc litigation will be key indicators to watch in the coming months.
Read the Full Forbes Article at:
[ https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2026/02/13/after-a-55-surge-is-jnj-stock-still-a-buy/ ]