Should you buy Apple's stock after earnings? These analysts see better options.
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Should Investors Buy Apple Stock After the Latest Earnings? Analysts Point to Better Options in the Future
Apple’s most recent earnings release, announced on October 3 2024, sent a mixed wave through the market. Revenue of $81.8 billion, up 6.6 % YoY, and diluted earnings per share of $1.39, reflected a solid but slightly slower growth than the $90 billion forecasted by consensus. The company’s services segment, in particular, posted a 12 % jump to $16.2 billion, while wearables and accessories grew 9 % to $9.4 billion. The iPhone unit—Apple’s core driver—reported 1.5 % revenue growth, a modest rise that has analysts questioning the sustainability of the product’s sales momentum.
Even with a slightly softer quarterly performance, many analysts remain bullish on Apple’s long‑term trajectory. Wedbush’s lead analyst, Daniel R. Bach, sees the company’s fundamentals as still healthy, emphasizing that the company’s cash reserves and free‑cash‑flow generation provide a cushion against any cyclical downturns. He notes that Apple’s services are now a $600 billion‑plus business, creating a new, high‑margin revenue stream that is less sensitive to consumer hardware cycles. Moreover, he highlights Apple’s continued investments in artificial‑intelligence research, including the rollout of on‑device AI processors and the partnership with OpenAI, as potential catalysts for future growth.
Conversely, Fidelity’s research team cautions that the price-to-earnings multiple—currently sitting at 28.7—may be too high in light of the current macro environment. They underscore that while services have expanded, the iPhone segment is now in a “market‑share battle” with competitors such as Samsung and the emerging Chinese brands, which are offering competitive hardware at lower price points. Fidelity’s analyst, Michelle L., points out that Apple’s margin compression, driven by higher material costs and an increase in labor expenses, could reduce profitability if the price pressures continue.
In a move that surprised many market observers, Apple has announced a new product launch schedule that extends into 2025, with a focus on augmented‑reality (AR) and next‑generation Mac hardware. Apple’s Vision Pro, the company’s flagship AR headset, is slated for a 2025 release, but pre‑orders are already open, and early adopters are reporting a robust user experience. In addition, Apple’s new silicon architecture, the M3 chip, is expected to be rolled out to Macs and iPads in the coming year, promising significant performance gains and energy efficiency improvements. These developments are likely to provide a new growth engine for the company, especially as the AR and AI markets expand.
While Apple’s earnings report delivered a mixed picture, analysts see a strategic shift that could improve shareholder returns in the longer term. Several analysts have recommended diversifying investment portfolios to capture the upside in the company’s emerging segments. For example, Wedbush suggests adding Apple’s “services” exposure by investing in the company’s own Apple TV+ and Apple Music subscriptions, while Fidelity recommends monitoring the company’s AR hardware rollout as a potential “beta” for future valuation increases.
Key Takeaways for Investors
Strong Services Growth: Apple’s services business now accounts for nearly 20 % of revenue and shows high‑margin growth, providing a buffer against hardware‑segment volatility.
iPhone Slowing: The flagship product’s growth is decelerating, with a 1.5 % revenue rise that may hint at market saturation and price‑competition.
Future‑Focused Product Roadmap: Apple’s upcoming Vision Pro AR headset and M3 silicon chip may represent the next major revenue driver, albeit with some risk as the market for AR remains nascent.
Valuation Concerns: At an 28.7‑times P/E, Apple remains expensive relative to the broader market, raising concerns about upside potential if growth slows further.
Strategic AI Investments: Apple’s on‑device AI processors and collaborations with external AI firms point to a long‑term vision that could drive future innovation.
Follow‑Up Links for Further Detail
Apple Q3 Earnings Report (MarketWatch) – Provides a breakdown of the company’s financial performance, including segment revenue and margin details.
Vision Pro AR Headset (Apple Press Release) – Details specifications, release timeline, and pricing for Apple’s flagship AR device.
M3 Silicon Chip Release (Apple Investor Relations) – Outlines technical capabilities of Apple’s next‑generation silicon and its anticipated rollout across devices.
OpenAI Partnership (Apple Press Release) – Explains the terms of Apple’s collaboration with OpenAI, including on‑device AI capabilities and data privacy measures.
Analyst Commentaries – Individual reports from Wedbush and Fidelity offering deeper dives into Apple’s valuation, risk profile, and growth prospects.
Conclusion
Apple’s latest earnings release demonstrates a company that is both facing short‑term headwinds and laying the groundwork for future growth. While the core iPhone business shows signs of slowing, the services and emerging AR segments provide fresh opportunities. For investors looking to gauge whether Apple is still a worthwhile buy, the consensus leans toward a cautious but optimistic stance—especially if one believes in Apple’s ability to pivot into AI and AR. Diversification within Apple’s product ecosystem and close monitoring of upcoming releases will be key to capitalizing on potential upside while mitigating the risks associated with its high valuation.
Read the Full MarketWatch Article at:
[ https://www.marketwatch.com/story/should-you-buy-apples-stock-after-earnings-these-analysts-see-better-options-7f0c4229 ]