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BNVI, AVII, ATHX, ASTM, ARRY, ARNA, Biomed - Genetics Stocks 60.92% undervalued

^{Published on 2011-01-26 12:34:02 - WOPRAI}
 

January 26, 2011 / M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Biomed - Genetics sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. BIONOVO INC (NASDAQ:BNVI), AVI BIOPHARMA INC (NASDAQ:AVII), ATHERSYS INC (NASDAQ:ATHX), AASTROM BIOSCIENCES INC (NASDAQ:ASTM), ARRAY BIOPHARMA INC (NASDAQ:ARRY), ARENA PHARMACEUTICALS INC (NASDAQ:ARNA) are all expected to go Up as they are undervalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     BNVI       BIONOVO INC                         1.15           2.94           60.92% undervalued          Biomed - Genetics      
     AVII       AVI BIOPHARMA INC                   2.21           2.26           2.30% undervalued           Biomed - Genetics      
     ATHX       ATHERSYS INC                        2.88           3.62           20.48% undervalued          Biomed - Genetics      
     ASTM       AASTROM BIOSCIENCES INC             2.81           7.11           60.47% undervalued          Biomed - Genetics      
     ARRY       ARRAY BIOPHARMA INC                 2.95           8.96           67.06% undervalued          Biomed - Genetics      
     ARNA       ARENA PHARMACEUTICALS INC           1.98           7.92           75.00% undervalued          Biomed - Genetics      

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

BIONOVO INC (NASDAQ:BNVI) - Bionovo, Inc., a clinical stage drug discovery and development company, focuses on womens health and cancer primarily in the United States. Its lead drug candidate, Menerba, which completed a Phase II clinical trial, is a receptor sub-type selective estrogen receptor modulator for the treatment of vasomotor symptoms of menopause. Bionovo also develops Bezielle, an oral anti-cancer agent for advanced breast cancer, which completed two Phase I clinical trials; and Seala, a Phase I/II trial candidate for the treatment of post-menopausal vulvar and vaginal atrophy. It also develops BN107 and BN108, which are anticancer agents. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

AVI BIOPHARMA INC (NASDAQ:AVII) - AVI BioPharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapeutic products based on antisense and cancer immunotherapy technology. The companys products under development comprise AVI-4658, which has completed Phase I human clinical trials to restore, prevent, or slow deterioration of muscle function; and AVI-5038, a preclinical stage product that is designed to skip exon 50, and overcome the mutational block and restore dystrophin expression. Its other development programs include AVI-6002 Ebola virus program, AVI-6003 Marburg virus program, and AVI-7367 H1N1 virus program. It has strategic alliances with Chiron Corporation; Cook Group Incorporated; Ercole Biotech, Inc.; Eleos Inc.; Charleys Fund, Inc.; and the United States Department of Defense. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Bothell, Washington.

ATHERSYS INC (NASDAQ:ATHX) - Athersys, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapeutic products in various disease areas in the United States. Its product pipeline includes MultiStem, a novel allogeneic approach to stem cell therapy and regenerative medicine for treating a range of diseases. The company also develops orally active pharmaceutical products for the treatment of obesity and certain central nervous system disorders, including narcolepsy, excessive daytime sleepiness, and chronic fatigue, as well as other potential indications consisting of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and other cognitive disorders, including schizophrenia. It has product co-development collaboration with Angiotech Pharmaceuticals, Inc. for the potential application of MultiStem in multiple cardiovascular indications, including myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, and certain other indications. In addition, the company has a collaboration agreement with Pfizer Inc. to develop and commercialize MutiStem for the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease. Athersys, Inc. was founded in 1995 and is based in Cleveland, Ohio.

AASTROM BIOSCIENCES INC (NASDAQ:ASTM) - Aastrom Biosciences, Inc. engages in developing autologous cell products for the treatment of severe, chronic, and cardiovascular diseases. The company's proprietary tissue repair cell (TRC) technology expands the numbers of stem and early progenitor cells from a small amount of bone marrow collected from the patient. The company is conducting a Phase II cardiac regeneration clinical trial (the IMPACT-DCM trial) in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM severe chronic heart failure) and a Phase IIb vascular regeneration clinical trial (the RESTORE-CLI trial) in patients with critical limb ischemia (CLI the most severe form of peripheral arterial disease). Aastrom Biosciences would also initiate its U.S. Phase II clinical trial to evaluate the catheter delivery of CRCs for the treatment of DCM. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

ARRAY BIOPHARMA INC (NASDAQ:ARRY) - Array BioPharma Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of small molecule drugs to treat patients with cancer, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Its programs under development pipeline include ARRY-403, a glucokinase activator for Type 2 diabetes, that is in a Phase 1 multiple ascending dose trial; ARRY-162, a MEK inhibitor for cancer that is in a Phase 1 trial; ARRY-380, an ErbB-2 inhibitor for breast cancer, which is in Phase 1 dose escalation trial; and ARRY-520, a KSP inhibitor that is in Phase 1 expansion trial in solid tumors and Phase 1/2 acute myeloid leukemia and multiple myeloma trials. The companys programs also comprise ARRY-614, a p38/Tie 2 dual inhibitor, which is in Phase 1 trial in myelodysplastic syndrome patients; ARRY-543, an ErbB family (ErbB-2/EGFR) inhibitor for solid tumors that is in Phase 1b combination trials; ARRY-797, a p38 inhibitor for subacute pain and cancer supportive care indications; and ARRY-300, an MEK that completed Phase 1 trial in healthy volunteers. It has collaborations with Celgene Corporation focusing on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics in cancer and inflammation; Genentech, Inc. to develop cancer programs; and AstraZeneca, PLC, which licensed the companys three MEK inhibitors for cancer, including AZD6244 (ARRY-886). The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Boulder, Colorado.

ARENA PHARMACEUTICALS INC (NASDAQ:ARNA) - Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing oral drugs in the therapeutic areas of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company also discovers small molecule drug candidates that target G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs). Its clinical development programs include lorcaserin that has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of weight management; APD791, an anti-thrombotic drug candidate, which completed Phase Ia and Phase Ib clinical trials; APD597 that is in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of type II diabetes; APD916, which has completed preclinical development for the treatment of narcolepsy and cataplexy; and APD811, a preclinical drug candidate for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. The companys drug candidates use GPCR-focused drug discovery and development approach, as well as technologies, including Constitutively Activated Receptor Technology and Melanophore Technology. It has collaboration agreements with Ortho-McNeil-Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to further develop compounds for the potential treatment of type II diabetes and other disorders; and Merck & Co., Inc. to develop therapeutics for atherosclerosis and other disorders. Arena Pharmaceuticals also has a strategic cooperation agreement with Siegfried Ltd to manufacture lorcaserin. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in San Diego, California.

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