India's IT vs. Merchandise Exports: A Tale of Two Sectors
Locales: INDIA, VIET NAM, BANGLADESH

The Tale of Two Sectors: Why the Disparity?
The fundamental differences in the nature of these two export engines explain much of the disparity. The IT sector, characterized by its agility and global reach, operates largely independent of domestic economic fluctuations. Its service-based model allows for rapid scaling, adaptation to changing market demands, and minimal constraints from local infrastructure limitations. IT companies primarily cater to international clients, shielding them from many of the challenges faced by exporters of physical goods. They are also less impacted by currency fluctuations due to the nature of their billing, often conducted in US dollars or other strong currencies.
Merchandise exports, on the other hand, are deeply intertwined with global economic health, currency values, infrastructural efficiency, and the complex web of international trade policies. The strengthening of the US dollar in 2022 and 2023 served as a prime example. This made Indian goods more expensive for buyers in countries with weaker currencies, significantly eroding their competitiveness. The IT sector, largely insulated from this effect due to its dollar-denominated earnings, continued to thrive.
FTAs: A Mixed Bag of Results The Indian government has actively pursued Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) as a means of boosting merchandise exports. However, the results have been underwhelming. While FTAs are theoretically designed to reduce trade barriers and promote commerce, some agreements have failed to deliver the anticipated benefits. In some instances, they've even led to an increase in imports, widening the trade deficit. The efficacy of these agreements is often hampered by complex rules of origin, non-tariff barriers, and a lack of reciprocal concessions.
Beyond FTAs: A Multifaceted Approach Needed
To unlock the potential of merchandise exports and achieve balanced economic growth, a more comprehensive and strategic approach is required. Simply negotiating more FTAs isn't sufficient. The following areas demand immediate attention:
- Diversification of the Export Base: India's export portfolio remains heavily concentrated in a few sectors, such as textiles, gems and jewelry, and petroleum products. Expanding into new and higher-value product categories is crucial. This requires investment in research and development, skill development, and the creation of ecosystems that support innovation in emerging sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and specialized manufacturing.
- Infrastructure Enhancement: Inadequate infrastructure remains a major impediment to merchandise exports. This includes improving port efficiency, developing modern logistics networks, and investing in road and rail connectivity. Streamlining customs procedures and reducing bureaucratic bottlenecks are equally important. The PM Gati Shakti National Master Plan, while a positive step, requires accelerated implementation and effective coordination across various agencies.
- Addressing Policy Differences: Navigating the complex landscape of international trade regulations and standards is a significant challenge for Indian exporters. The government needs to actively engage with trading partners to address policy differences and ensure a level playing field. This includes advocating for fairer trade practices and resolving disputes through established mechanisms.
- Enhancing Competitiveness: Indian manufacturers need to improve their cost competitiveness, quality control, and technological capabilities. This requires access to affordable finance, streamlined regulatory processes, and a skilled workforce. Promoting cluster development and encouraging the adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies can also significantly enhance competitiveness.
Looking Ahead
The future of India's economic growth hinges on its ability to transform its merchandise export performance. While the IT sector will undoubtedly remain a vital engine, a sustained and broad-based expansion requires a revival of merchandise exports. This will necessitate a concerted effort to address the structural challenges, diversify the export base, improve infrastructure, and enhance competitiveness. The government, in collaboration with the private sector, must prioritize these initiatives to ensure that India's export story becomes one of inclusive and balanced growth.
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