Stocks & Investing
Stocks and Investing
Stocks and Investing
Tue, March 1, 2011
Mon, February 28, 2011 
February 28, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Machinery - Electrical sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. CAPSTONE TURBINE CORP (NASDAQ:CPST) are all expected to go Up as they are undervalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.
The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:
Symbol Company Name Last Close Fair Value Valuation Industry
CPST CAPSTONE TURBINE CORP 1.51 1.72 12.21% undervalued Machinery - Electrical
Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.
Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.
CAPSTONE TURBINE CORP (NASDAQ:CPST) - Capstone Turbine Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, and services turbine generator sets and related parts for use in stationary distributed power generation applications. Its stationary distributed power generation applications include cogeneration, combined heat and power (CHP), integrated CHP, resource recovery, and power, as well as combined cooling, heat, and power; and its products are used as battery charging generators for hybrid electric vehicle applications. The company also offers microturbine units, subassemblies, components, and various accessories, including rotary gas compressors with digital controls, heat recovery modules for CHP applications, dual mode controllers that allow automatic transition between grid connect and stand-alone modes, batteries with digital controls for stand-alone/dual-mode operations, power servers for large multipacked installations, and protocol converters for Internet access, as well as frames, exhaust ducting, and installation hardware. In addition, it remanufactures microturbine engines; and provides after-market parts and services, scheduled and unscheduled maintenance, and factory and on-site training services. The companys microturbines are fueled by various sources, including natural gas, propane, sour gas, landfill or digester gas, kerosene, diesel, and biodiesel. It sells its products primarily through distributors, original equipment manufacturers, and end users in North America, Asia, Europe, and the Russian Federation. Capstone Turbine Corporation was founded in 1988 and is based in Chatsworth, California.
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