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KFRC, NOG, PFCB, BALT, ANIK, BusinessSvc Stocks Overvalued

^{Published on 2011-04-28 06:40:45 - WOPRAI}
 

April 28, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the BusinessSvc sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. KFORCE INC (NASDAQ:KFRC), NORTHERN OIL AND GAS INC (AMEX:NOG), PF CHANG'S CHINA BISTRO INC (NASDAQ:PFCB), BALTIC TRADING LTD (NYSE:BALT), ANIKA THERAPEUTICS INC (NASDAQ:ANIK) are all expected to go Down as they are Overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     KFRC       KFORCE INC                          $15.73         $15.54         1.20% Overvalued            BusinessSvc            
     NOG        NORTHERN OIL AND GAS INC            $24.63         $17.18         43.40% Overvalued           Petroleum              
     PFCB       PF CHANG'S CHINA BISTRO INC         $41.01         $38.77         5.80% Overvalued            Food                   
     BALT       BALTIC TRADING LTD                  $8.07          $6.35          27.10% Overvalued           Transportation         
     ANIK       ANIKA THERAPEUTICS INC              $8.54          $5.47          56.10% Overvalued           Drug                   

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

KFORCE INC (NASDAQ:KFRC) - Kforce Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional and technical specialty staffing services and solutions to the federal government, state and local governments, local and regional companies, and small to mid-sized companies in the United States. It offers flexible staffing services and solutions on temporary and full-time basis, as well as provides search services. The company operates in four segments: Technology, Finance and Accounting, Health and Life Sciences, and Government Solutions. The Technology segment offers systems/applications programmers, systems analysts, enterprise data management, and e-business and networking technicians in the areas of information technologies. The Finance and Accounting segment provides temporary staffing and search placement services to clients in areas, such as taxation, budget preparation and analysis, financial reporting, cost analysis, accounts payable, accounts receivable, professional administrative, credit and collections, general accounting, audit services, systems and controls analysis, and documentation to support compliance work. The Health and Life Sciences segment offers clinical research associates for the pharmaceutical industry; and health care information management professionals and nurses for hospitals and healthcare facilities. The Government Solutions segment provides finance and accounting, and technology professionals to the federal government primarily as a prime contractor. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

NORTHERN OIL AND GAS INC (AMEX:NOG) - Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Rocky Mountain region of the United States. As of December 31, 2009, its principal assets included approximately 30400 net acres located in Mountrail County; 26800 net acres in Dunn County; 10000 net acres in Burke and Divide Counties; 8900 net acres in McKenzie, Williams, and Mercer Counties, North Dakota; 22400 net acres in Sheridan County and 5500 net acres in Roosevelt and Richland Counties, Montana; and 10000 net acres in the Finger Lakes region of Yates County, New York. The company had total of 179 gross wells. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is based in Wayzata, Minnesota.

PF CHANG'S CHINA BISTRO INC (NASDAQ:PFCB) - P.F. Chang's China Bistro, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership and operation of restaurants in the United States. The company owns and operates two restaurant concepts, P.F. Chang's China Bistro and Pei Wei Asian Diner. As of January 2, 2011, it owned and operated 201 full service Bistro restaurants and 168 quick casual Pei Wei restaurants; and operated 7 Bistro restaurants in Mexico and the Middle East under development and licensing agreements. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.

BALTIC TRADING LTD (NYSE:BALT) - Baltic Trading Limited owns drybulk vessels. The company trades in trip charters and vessel pools in the spot market. Baltic Trading Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in New York, New York. Baltic Trading Limited operates as a subsidiary of Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd.

ANIKA THERAPEUTICS INC (NASDAQ:ANIK) - Anika Therapeutics, Inc. develops, manufactures, and commercializes therapeutic products for tissue protection, healing, and repair. Its products are based on hyaluronic acid (HA), a naturally occurring biocompatible polymer found in the body. The company offers ORTHOVISC, which is used for the treatment of osteoarthritis in knees and various joints; ORTHOVISC mini that is used for the treatment of osteoarthritis in small joints; and MONOVISC, a single injection product used for the treatment of osteoarthritis in various joints. It also provides wound care products that comprise Hyalograft 3D used for the regeneration of skin; and Hyalomatrix used for the treatment of burns and ulcers. In addition, the company offers AMVISC, AMVISC Plus, STAARVISC-II, and ShellGel, which are injectable HA products used as viscoelastic agents in ophthalmic surgical procedures, such as cataract extraction and intraocular lens implantation. Further, it provides INCERT, a HA based product used for the prevention of post-surgical adhesions; Hyalobarrier and Hyalobarrier Endo, which are post operative adhesion barriers for abdominal indications; and HYVISC, an HA product used for the treatment of joint dysfunction in horses due to non-infectious synovitis associated with equine osteoarthritis. Additionally, the company offers Merogel, a product used for the treatment of ear, nose, and throat disorders. It also provides products for facial wrinkles and scar remediation under the HYDRELLE and ELEVESS brand names. Anika Therapeutics, Inc. sells its products directly, as well as through a network of distributors primarily in the United States, Europe, and Turkey. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts.

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