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Tue, April 12, 2011

A, Technology Stocks Overvalued


Published on 2011-04-12 04:21:31 - WOPRAI
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April 12, 2011/ M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Technology sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC (NYSE:A) are all expected to go Down as they are Overvalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.

The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:

     Symbol     Company Name                        Last Close     Fair Value     Valuation                   Industry               
     A          AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC                                          20.70% Overvalued           Technology             

Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.

Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.

AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC (NYSE:A) - Agilent Technologies, Inc. provides bio-analytical and electronic measurement solutions to the communications, electronics, life sciences, and chemical analysis industries in the United States and internationally. The companys Electronic Measurement segment offers electronic measurement instruments and systems; monitoring, management, and optimization tools for communications networks and services; and software design tools and related services that are used in the design, development, manufacture, installation, deployment, and operation of electronics equipment and communications networks and services. Its products include communications test and general purpose test products. This segment also provides start-up assistance, instrument productivity and application, and instrument calibration and repair, as well as customization, consulting, and optimization services. The companys Bio-Analytical Measurement segment offers application-focused solutions, which include instruments, software, consumables, and services. Its product categories include liquid chromatography, gas chromatography, mass spectrometry, microarrays, inductively coupled plasma mass spectroscopy, microfluidics, electrophoresis, laboratory automation and robotics, polymerase chain reaction instrumentation, and software and informatics, as well as related bioreagents, consumables, and services. This segment principally serves life sciences and chemical analysis markets. The Semiconductor and Board Test segment provides laser interferometer; parametric and manufacturing test, and measurement instruments; and systems monitoring, management, and optimization tools that are used in semiconductor and printed circuit assembly fabrication. The company primarily markets its products through direct sales, as well as distributors, resellers, manufacturer's representatives, telesales, and electronic commerce. Agilent Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

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