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Aluminum Stocks Expected To Be Lower After 4 of Top 4 Correlated Stocks Fire Sell Signal.

^{Published on 2009-06-16 12:06:27, Last Modified on 2010-12-22 14:14:04 - WOPRAI}
 

June 17, 2009 / M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the top 4 most highly correlated Aluminum stocks and 100% of them have fired a sell signal as of June 16th, 2009. Alcoa (NYSE: AA), Aluminum Corp of China (NYSE: ACH), Century Aluminum (NASDAQ: CENX) and Kaiser Aluminum (NASDAQ: KALU) are all expected to be lower as 4 of the top 4 stocks in the sector have fired a sell signal. Group rotation is a phenomenon where institutions exert buying or selling pressure in an industry group, pushing prices of the group higher or higher relative to the general market. An industry can often lead or lag the market, and the most highly correlated stocks (mirror closest to the overall move in that group) usually move in unison. The technology used to make these predictions is available for a low monthly fee at http://www.squeezetrigger.com/services/strat/mh.php . The chart below displays the correlation, beta and relative strength of the top 4 most highly correlated stocks in the highlighted industry group:

Name Symbol Correlation Beta RelStr Group

ALCOA INC AA 0.93 0.84 1.01 Aluminum

ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA ACH 0.9 1.01 1 Aluminum

CENTURY ALUMINUM CENX 0.73 1.22 0.83 Aluminum

KAISER ALUMINUM CORP KALU 0.71 0.84 0.99 Aluminum

We automatically calculate correlation to help find the stocks that most closely match their group�s movement and generate powerful group consensus trading signals to profit from the herd mentality. When multiple stocks in a group turn at the same time and the rotation of that group is confirmed, an explosive move typically occurs. Correlation measures the tendency for a symbol to move in unison with the group, beta measures the amount the symbol is expected to move relative to the group and relative strength looks back at the recent past to show how the stock has been moving relative to the group.

The chart below looks at average seasonal moves (Seasonality) over the trading life of the stocks mentioned above and predicts an expected move up or down based on the odds (# of times it has happened in the past). Aluminum stocks as a group have been down an average of -0.4% in June, -1.2% in July, -0.3% in August, -4.3% in September and -8.8% in October. Collectively that is -15% over the next 4 1/2 months.

CLICK TO VIEW GRAPH:

Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) engages in the production and management of primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina worldwide. It involves in the technology, mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling of aluminum. The company�s products include precision castings, and aerospace and industrial fasteners. Alcoa offers flat-rolled products, such as sheet and plate, foil products, and can reclamations; extruded and end products, including extrusion and architectural products; auto engineering products; and automotive components. Its products are used in aircraft, automobiles, commercial transportation, building and construction, oil and gas, defense, and industrial applications. The company has bauxite mining interests in Australia, Brazil, Guinea, Jamaica, and Suriname. It has a strategic cooperation agreement with the Peoples Government of Henan Province in China to jointly establish projects for the fabricated and primary aluminum industry. Alcoa was founded in 1888 and is based in New York, New York.

Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (NYSE: ACH) and its subsidiaries engage in bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting businesses in the People�s Republic of China. Its principal products include alumina, primary aluminum, aluminum fabricated products, gallium, and carbon-related products. The company�s Alumina segment involves in mining and purchasing bauxite and other raw materials, refining bauxite into alumina, and selling alumina. This segment also produces and sells chemical alumina, including alumina hydrate, alumina chemicals, and gallium. Its Primary Aluminum segment engages in procuring alumina and other raw materials, supplemental materials and electricity power, and smelting alumina to produce primary aluminum; selling primary aluminum products; and producing and selling carbon products and aluminum-alloy products. The company�s Aluminum Fabrication segment involves in purchasing primary aluminum; other raw materials; supplemental materials and electricity power; and further processing primary aluminum for the production and sale of aluminum fabricated products, including casts, planks, screens, extrusions, forges, powder, and die castings. Aluminum Corporation of China Limited also engages in providing design services and consulting services; providing repair and maintenance services for electrical plant and machinery; manufacturing and distributing alumina ceramic products and electronic products; and processing and distributing non ferrous metals; alumina importing and exporting operations. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Beijing, China. Aluminum Corporation of China Limited is a subsidiary of Aluminum Corporation of China.

Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ: CENX), through its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum in the United States and internationally. The company offers molten aluminum, as well as standard-grade ingot, extrusion billet, and other value-added primary aluminum products. It also holds 50 percent joint venture interests in the Gramercy alumina refinery, located in Gramercy, Louisiana and a related bauxite mining operation in Jamaica. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Monterey, California.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (NASDAQ: KALU) manufactures fabricated aluminum products primarily in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company produces rolled, extruded, drawn, and forged aluminum products used for aerospace and defense, automotive, consumer durables, electronics, electrical, and machinery and equipment end-use applications. It manufactures products in three categories, such as aerospace and high strength products, general engineering products, and custom automotive and industrial products. The company�s aerospace and high strength products include heat treat plates and sheets, cold finish bars, seamless drawn tubes, and billets. Its general engineering products include alloy rod, bar, tube, sheet, plate, and standard extrusions. The company�s rod and bar products are manufactured into rivets, nails, screws, bolts, and parts of machinery and equipment. Its custom automotive and industrial products consist of extruded/drawn and forged aluminum products for automotive and industrial end uses, including consumer durables, electrical/electronic, machinery and equipment, automobile, light truck, heavy truck, and truck trailer applications. The company�s products include extruded products for anti-lock braking systems, drawn tube for drive shafts, and forgings for suspension control arms and drive train yokes. It holds interest in Anglesey Aluminium Limited, which owns an aluminum smelter in Wales. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation serves aerospace companies, automotive suppliers, and metal distributors. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California.

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