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Fri, September 5, 2025

Wall Street Analysts Issue Key Market Calls Wednesday

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Wall Street Analysts Issue Key Market Calls on Wednesday

September 5, 2025 — A chorus of Wall Street voices issued a series of market outlooks on Wednesday, offering investors a blend of caution and optimism as the U.S. equity market heads into the final quarter of 2025. While short‑term volatility remains a concern, most analysts projected a continued upward trajectory for the S&P 500, driven by resilient earnings, supportive monetary policy, and strong demand in key sectors such as technology, energy, and financial services.


1. A Broad Consensus on a Bullish Long‑Term Outlook

Across the spectrum of leading research firms, a consensus emerged: the S&P 500 is poised to climb toward a 12‑month high near 5,300 points. Morgan Stanley’s Matt D’Andrea noted that the index’s “risk‑on” momentum, combined with a robust earnings season, “makes it difficult to see a sustained reversal at this juncture.” Bank of America Research’s Robert L. Kahn echoed the sentiment, projecting a 5,380 level by year‑end if the Federal Reserve continues to hold rates steady through the first quarter of 2026.

“Positive earnings surprises in the tech and financial sectors are likely to keep the rally alive,” said Daniel A. McIntosh of Goldman Sachs. “Even if the Fed takes a more dovish stance, the underlying fundamentals remain strong.” These views were echoed by J.P. Morgan’s Hugh R. Dugan, who highlighted the “solid operating margins in consumer staples and the resilience of the healthcare sector.”

2. Short‑Term Caution Amid Inflationary Headwinds

While long‑term upside is widely accepted, most analysts warned of a short‑term pullback, particularly as CPI inflation data for August still shows a rise in core components. Citi’s Samantha V. Patel cautioned that “if the inflationary pressure remains sticky, the market could see a retracement of 2–3 % in the next few weeks.” The same concern was raised by Credit Suisse’s Alexandra B. Torres, who cited the “potential for higher-than‑expected interest‑rate hikes” as a catalyst for a temporary slowdown.

These short‑term worries are amplified by the looming release of Retail Sales data on Thursday, which analysts predict may show a modest decline. “We expect the market to tighten ahead of this data,” said Wells Fargo’s Jonathan M. Hsu. “However, the broader trend remains bullish.”

3. Sector‑by‑Sector Breakdown

  • Technology: Despite a brief pause after last week’s earnings, analysts are optimistic about the sector’s AI boom. Morgan Stanley flagged Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft as “growth catalysts,” with Goldman Sachs projecting an average 12 % upside for the sector over the next twelve months.

  • Energy: The energy sector saw a 4.2 % rally this week, buoyed by supply constraints and rising oil prices. Analysts at J.P. Morgan forecast a continued 3 % growth for the sector, driven by demand in emerging markets.

  • Financials: Bank of America Research expects a 3.5 % rise in financials, citing higher net interest margins from the Fed’s elevated rates. Wells Fargo flagged JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs as “top picks” in the banking space.

  • Utilities: Utilities were the only sector to record a decline, with analysts citing potential rate cuts in the near term. Citi warned that this could erode earnings for the sector in the short run.

  • Consumer Staples: This sector remains “steady” according to J.P. Morgan, with a projected 2.5 % rise in earnings.

4. Company Highlights

  • Apple (AAPL): Following a strong earnings beat, Morgan Stanley raised its target price to $170, a 9 % upside from the current level. Analysts cited the upcoming launch of the next‑generation iPhone and an expanded services segment as key drivers.

  • Tesla (TSLA): Goldman Sachs lifted its target to $1,800, citing the “rapid scale‑up of Gigafactory Berlin” and continued demand in the electric‑vehicle market.

  • Microsoft (MSFT): J.P. Morgan highlighted the company’s cloud growth, raising its target to $350 from $320. Analysts emphasized the “solid performance of Azure” and the company’s strategic acquisitions.

5. Macro‑Economic Context

The Federal Reserve’s policy stance remains a focal point. While the Fed is expected to hold rates at 5.25 % through the first quarter of 2026, Bank of America Research warned that a “further increase is plausible if inflationary pressures stay above 2 %.” Credit Suisse added that “the Fed’s decision could tilt market sentiment, but the current earnings trajectory is strong enough to withstand a slight policy tightening.”

The Treasury market also remains in focus. Analysts noted that the 10‑year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.0 %, slightly above the 4‑year trend, which could impact equity valuations. “If the yield curve were to steepen further, we could see a repricing of risk assets,” warned Citi.

6. Takeaways for Investors

  • Long‑term bullishness: The prevailing view is that the S&P 500 will continue its upward trend into 2026, with a near‑year‑end target of 5,300–5,380.

  • Short‑term volatility: Investors should prepare for a possible retracement of 2–3 % as inflationary data and retail sales come in.

  • Sector focus: Technology, energy, and financials appear to be the most attractive sectors, while utilities may face pressure.

  • Watch the Fed: Policy decisions in early 2026 will be pivotal in shaping the market’s risk appetite.

For more in‑depth analysis, readers can refer to the detailed reports by Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Research, both of which are available through Bloomberg’s subscription service. As always, individual investors are advised to align their portfolios with their risk tolerance and investment horizon.


This article is a concise synthesis of the market calls issued by leading Wall Street analysts on Wednesday, September 5, 2025. For real‑time market updates, visit the MSN Money website.


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