Stocks & Investing
Stocks and Investing
Stocks and Investing
Wed, January 26, 2011 
January 26, 2011 / M2 PRESSWIRE / BUYINS.NET / http://www.squeezetrigger.com is monitoring the Solar sector and these stocks are the most undervalued as of today. CHINA SUNERGY CO LTD-ADR (NASDAQ:CSUN), CANADIAN SOLAR INC (NASDAQ:CSIQ) are all expected to go Up as they are undervalued according to industry standard valuation metrics. The valuation model employs a three-factor approach to stock valuation using fundamental variables--the company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's forecasted 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield--to create a highly accurate reflection of a company's fair value.
The chart below displays the projected Fair Value and Valuation discount/premium of the most undervalued stocks in the highlighted industry group:
Symbol Company Name Last Close Fair Value Valuation Industry
CSUN CHINA SUNERGY CO LTD-ADR 4.55 5.63 19.12% undervalued Solar
CSIQ CANADIAN SOLAR INC 14.32 20.05 28.58% undervalued Solar
Here are some of the variables that are utilized when calculating the Fair Market Valuation of a stock: Long-run EPS growth rate, Duration of Business-growth-cycle, Volatility of EPS growth rate, Systematic or beta risk of the firm, Correlation between the firm's EPS and the interest rate environment, EPS growth volatility, Dividend payout ratio, Buffer earnings, Interest rate related criteria: Interest rate (30 year yield) long-run level, Duration of interest rate cycle, Interest rate volatility. The Fair Market Valuation uses 12-month historic and forecasted EPS values and the current 30-year treasury yield as primary determinants. When calculating risk/return values such as the Sharpe ratio, the historic periods used are five years.
Some expected results of the Valuation Model are: the valuation of a stock increases in a declining interest rate environment. Increasing current and/or projected EPS will produce a higher Valuation. While long-term EPS growth would produce a corresponding long-term Valuation increase, concomitant long-term interest rate increases would offset EPS growth and depress the Valuation. The shorter a company's own business cycle, the higher its stock Valuation will be.
CHINA SUNERGY CO LTD-ADR (NASDAQ:CSUN) - China Sunergy Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of solar cells in the Peoples Republic of China and internationally. The company manufactures solar cells from silicon wafers utilizing crystalline silicon solar cell technology to convert sunlight directly into electricity through a process, known as the photovoltaic effect. It sells solar cell products to Chinese and overseas module manufacturers and system integrators, who assemble its solar cells into solar modules and solar power systems for use in various markets. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Nanjing, the Peoples Republic of China.
CANADIAN SOLAR INC (NASDAQ:CSIQ) - Canadian Solar Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of solar cell and solar module products that convert sunlight into electricity for various uses in Canada and internationally. Its products include a range of standard solar modules for use in various residential, commercial, and industrial solar power generation systems. The company also designs and produces specialty solar modules and products consisting of customized modules that its customers incorporate into their products, such as solar-powered bus stop lighting; and specialty products, such as solar-powered car battery chargers. In addition, it implements solar power development projects, primarily in conjunction with government organizations to provide solar power generation in rural areas of the People's Republic of China. The company sells its products under the Canadian Solar brand name. It offers its standard solar modules primarily to distributors, system integrators, utilities, and OEM companies, as well as to solar projects; and specialty solar modules and products directly to various manufacturers who integrate the specialty solar modules into their own products. The company sells its solar module products through its direct sales force and sales agents. It has a strategic cooperation agreement with Guodian Power Development Co. Ltd. to design, invest, build, operate, and maintain solar power plants in China. Canadian Solar Inc. was founded in 2001 and is based in Markham, Canada.
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