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Stocks Slip Ahead of July CPI Report: Stock Market Today
//stocks-investing.news-articles.net/content/202 .. ahead-of-july-cpi-report-stock-market-today.html
Published in Stocks and Investing on Monday, August 11th 2025 at 17:03 GMT by Kiplinger🞛 This publication is a summary or evaluation of another publication 🞛 This publication contains editorial commentary or bias from the source
The latest inflation updates roll in this week and Wall Street is watching to see how much of an impact tariffs are having on cost pressures.
Stocks Slip Ahead of July CPI Report: Stock Market Today
In a cautious trading session on Wall Street, major stock indices closed lower as investors braced for the release of the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, a key inflation gauge that could significantly influence the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. The market's downward drift reflected a mix of anticipation and uncertainty, with traders positioning themselves conservatively ahead of what many analysts view as a pivotal economic indicator. This comes amid ongoing concerns about persistent inflation, potential interest rate adjustments, and broader economic slowdown signals.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the declines, shedding 0.6% to finish at 39,497. This pullback erased some of the gains from earlier in the week, as blue-chip stocks felt the pressure from sectors sensitive to interest rate expectations. Similarly, the S&P 500 Index dipped 0.5%, closing at 5,344, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2% to 16,745. These movements underscore a broader market sentiment where optimism from recent corporate earnings has been tempered by macroeconomic jitters.
Driving the day's action was the impending CPI data, scheduled for release the following day. Economists polled by various financial outlets anticipate the headline CPI to rise 0.2% month-over-month in July, translating to a 2.9% annual increase—slightly down from June's 3.0%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to climb 0.2% monthly and 3.2% annually. A cooler-than-expected reading could bolster hopes for a more aggressive rate-cutting cycle by the Fed, potentially starting as early as September. Conversely, hotter inflation figures might reinforce fears of prolonged high rates, which could stifle economic growth and corporate profitability.
Market participants are particularly attuned to how this data might shape the Fed's outlook. Recent comments from Fed officials have hinted at a data-dependent approach, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for sustained progress toward the 2% inflation target. The CPI report follows a mixed jobs report from the previous week, which showed unemployment ticking up to 4.3%, raising recession concerns but also fueling speculation for rate relief. "Investors are walking a tightrope," noted one market strategist. "A soft CPI could ignite a relief rally, but persistent inflation might trigger more volatility."
Sector-wise, the session saw varied performances. Energy stocks were among the hardest hit, with the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) dropping 1.2% amid fluctuating oil prices. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled at $76.65 per barrel, down 0.7%, influenced by global demand worries and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. On the flip side, consumer staples provided some resilience, with the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) edging up 0.3%, as investors sought defensive plays in uncertain times.
Individual stock highlights included notable movers. Shares of Eli Lilly (LLY) surged 2.8% after the pharmaceutical giant reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, driven by strong sales of its weight-loss drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound. The company also raised its full-year guidance, boosting investor confidence in the healthcare sector. Conversely, Uber Technologies (UBER) tumbled 5.8% despite topping earnings estimates; the decline was attributed to concerns over rising competition in the ride-sharing space and potential regulatory hurdles.
Tech giants showed mixed results. Nvidia (NVDA) slipped 1.1% as broader semiconductor weakness persisted, while Apple (AAPL) managed a modest 0.4% gain amid positive analyst notes on its upcoming product launches. The broader tech sector's underperformance contributed to the Nasdaq's relatively milder decline compared to the Dow and S&P.
Looking beyond domestic markets, international developments added to the cautious tone. European stocks closed mixed, with the FTSE 100 in London down 0.3% and the DAX in Germany up 0.2%. Asian markets had ended lower earlier, with Japan's Nikkei 225 falling 0.6% on yen strength and export concerns. Currency markets reflected similar unease, with the U.S. dollar index edging higher as a safe-haven asset.
Bond yields also reacted to the pre-CPI nerves. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose slightly to 3.94%, signaling expectations of sustained or even higher rates if inflation data disappoints. This yield movement pressured rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities, which saw their respective ETFs decline by around 1%.
Analysts remain divided on the market's near-term trajectory. Some, like those at Goldman Sachs, argue that a benign CPI could propel stocks toward new highs, especially with the S&P 500 already up over 12% year-to-date despite recent volatility. Others caution that even favorable data might not fully alleviate recession fears, particularly if labor market softness persists. "The market is pricing in a soft landing, but any deviation could lead to sharp corrections," said a senior economist at a major investment bank.
In corporate news, Starbucks (SBUX) shares jumped 3.5% following the announcement of a new CEO appointment, with Brian Niccol from Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) set to take the helm. This leadership change is seen as a potential catalyst for revitalizing the coffee chain's growth strategy amid competitive pressures. Meanwhile, Home Depot (HD) edged lower by 0.8% ahead of its earnings report, with investors watching for insights into consumer spending trends.
As the trading day wrapped up, volume was moderate, indicating a wait-and-see approach rather than panic selling. Options activity showed increased hedging, with put options on major indices seeing higher demand. Looking ahead, beyond the CPI, traders will eye the Producer Price Index (PPI) later in the week, along with retail sales data, which could provide further clues on consumer health.
Overall, today's slip in stocks highlights the market's sensitivity to inflation dynamics and Fed policy. With the Jackson Hole symposium on the horizon later this month, where Powell is expected to speak, the coming weeks could be defining for investor sentiment. For now, the advice from experts is clear: stay diversified, monitor economic indicators closely, and prepare for potential volatility. As one portfolio manager put it, "In this environment, patience and prudence are key to navigating the uncertainties."
This session serves as a reminder of the interconnectedness of economic data, corporate performance, and global events in shaping market outcomes. Investors are encouraged to focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term fluctuations, even as the anticipation builds for tomorrow's CPI reveal. (Word count: 928)
Read the Full Kiplinger Article at:
[ https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/stocks-slip-ahead-of-july-cpi-report-stock-market-today ]
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